Facing a Donk Lead on the flop
Kurti Rafailov
Red Chipper Posts: 2 ✭✭
Home Game
0.10$/0/.20$Blinds 120 Effective BBs
Hero is on the CO with
Folds to me and i open to 0.60$
Button calls, Villain on the SB calls and BB also calls
4 ways to the flop (Pot is 2,40$)
The Flop comes :
Villain leads out for 2,00$
BB folds and button folds his cards before i act, so we are practically Heads up
I call with top pair, top kicker,
but I'm not sure what his range consists of. Villain is a reg player, who definitely doesnt play too loose, Im thinking he would lead out with Two pairs or a hand with a Jack, which draws to the nuts. I dont think he has a set here, because he would have Re-raised me on the flop with KK, QQ or TT. He could also be semi-bluffing with a nut flush draw, but at this point I am very confused why he would lead instead of checking. I thought he could also have a weak King, which he tries to protect.
Heads up to the Turn ( Pot is 6,40$ )
Turn comes :
Villain bets again for 4,00$
Hero calls again, because none of his bluffs improved and basically i still think I'm ahead of his range.
Pot is 14,40$
River comes :
So the board completes :
Villain bets once again for 8,00$, which makes the pot 22,40$
So i get about 3:1 to call
So i excluded AJ from his range, because he is most likely going to trap with it on the flop, or wait for a check-raise.
I also dont think he would lead like that with a Nut flush draw for the same reason.
So i am thinking his range mostly consists of missed straight draws or weak Kings
I do decide to call and he shows
, so basically a weak King
However, my question is how can i construct a Donk lead range for my opponent on this flop and could i have done something different, for example raise on the flop, was this even a good call on the river or the turn? I ran the math for the range which i thought he would be on and i got +6 EV, but Im not sure if I am constructing his range properly.
Thank you for your attention and ill be happy to read your responses!
0.10$/0/.20$Blinds 120 Effective BBs
Hero is on the CO with
Folds to me and i open to 0.60$
Button calls, Villain on the SB calls and BB also calls
4 ways to the flop (Pot is 2,40$)
The Flop comes :
Villain leads out for 2,00$
BB folds and button folds his cards before i act, so we are practically Heads up
I call with top pair, top kicker,
but I'm not sure what his range consists of. Villain is a reg player, who definitely doesnt play too loose, Im thinking he would lead out with Two pairs or a hand with a Jack, which draws to the nuts. I dont think he has a set here, because he would have Re-raised me on the flop with KK, QQ or TT. He could also be semi-bluffing with a nut flush draw, but at this point I am very confused why he would lead instead of checking. I thought he could also have a weak King, which he tries to protect.
Heads up to the Turn ( Pot is 6,40$ )
Turn comes :
Villain bets again for 4,00$
Hero calls again, because none of his bluffs improved and basically i still think I'm ahead of his range.
Pot is 14,40$
River comes :
So the board completes :
Villain bets once again for 8,00$, which makes the pot 22,40$
So i get about 3:1 to call
So i excluded AJ from his range, because he is most likely going to trap with it on the flop, or wait for a check-raise.
I also dont think he would lead like that with a Nut flush draw for the same reason.
So i am thinking his range mostly consists of missed straight draws or weak Kings
I do decide to call and he shows
, so basically a weak KingHowever, my question is how can i construct a Donk lead range for my opponent on this flop and could i have done something different, for example raise on the flop, was this even a good call on the river or the turn? I ran the math for the range which i thought he would be on and i got +6 EV, but Im not sure if I am constructing his range properly.
Thank you for your attention and ill be happy to read your responses!
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Comments
What I would suggest as a next-step is to plug V's proposed range into Flopzilla and see how your AK performs equity-wise on a variety of runouts. Then ask yourself "what would raising at any point in the hand do?" and "how many runouts am I folding on if V fires all 3 streets?"