Hand 20

Mark FlemingMark Fleming Red Chipper Posts: 76 ✭✭
Preflop: I’m a nitty-TAg and that’s ok. Just me in position with As4h against a Solid LAg with almost twice the chips. I open 2.5x and Solid LAg calls. Solid LAgs is acting the bully. He’s acting first so I put him on 30% (362) which in icludes A4s, 99 and 98o AA-22,AKo-A7o,KQo-KJo,QJo,JTo,T9o,98o,87o,76o,65o,AKs-A4s,KQs-K9s,QJs-Q9s,JTs-J8s,T9s-T7s,98s-96s,87s-86s,76s,65s,54s,43s,32s.

Flop :9h 3d 2s

I have a four out straight draw and Solid LAg checks. My range equity is 53% and hand equity is 47%.

If Villain has a made hand or a draw then he doesn’t want to scare off the nitty-TAg (me) from making a CB; he checks sets, draws and TP. If he had air then he would resume hsi usual role of bully and donk me. So, I narrow his range appropriately but not too much because nitty-TAg hates 3B and he may check raise to get me to fold. I take him ff of suited gappers, low SC and low pairs. I take him off the lower AXo and off suit connectors and on 18% (196) of previous AA-77,33-22,AKo-ATo,KQo-KJo,QJo,AKs-A4s,KQs-K9s,QJs,Q9s,JTs-J9s,T9s,98s-97s,87s,76s,32s.

My range equity improves but hand equity drops a tad 57/43

I check back.

Turn :2d

Villain bets 4BB, not really aggressive considering he is giving me 2+ to 1 pot odds. This wouldn’t scare a nitty-TAg who’s aware of how Solid LAg has been playing. So, he is perhaps betting for value. Regardless, I have doodley-squat. My range equity against this board is high but my hand equity plummets; 80/20.

Villain bets KT and Q( and doesn’t have 65. I take him off a few SC and he continues with AA-77,33-22,AKo-ATo,KQo-KJo,QJo,AKs-A4s,KQs-K9s,QJs,Q9s,JTs-J9s,T9s,98s-97s,32s.

Flop :7s

Villain is putting me on a tight range of moderate made hands and a few flush draws that crapped out on the river QQ-99,AKo-A9o,K9o,Q9o,J9o,T9o,AKs-A9s,KQs-K9s,Q9s,J9s,T9s.

Villain realizes that nitty-TAg is still in, all the way to the river now. But his bet size still gives me 2+ to 1 so he doesn’t want to scare me. Villain has 118 better combos, 56 worse and 8 identical.

The weakest hand I could profitably continue with would be 99 and I’m not feeling any significant ICM pressure with 56 BB left and an M Ratio of 37.

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