MTT hand - your opinion

yair gyair g Red Chipper Posts: 11 ✭✭
online satalite - pokernuts
hero stack: 6700
blinds: 150/300

hero UTG 10h10c
raise to 700

EP1 (stack 1480) call
EP2 (stack 1170) call
HJ (stack 11475) all in

HJ shoves every 3 hand. putting a lot of preshur
his range is: 77+ /any A

should i call and risk my tournament life?

i'm 17 out of 107 in chips


  • AceFromSpaceKKAceFromSpaceKK Red Chipper Posts: 281 ✭✭✭
    yair g wrote: »

    should i call and risk my tournament life?

  • OrigamiHeroOrigamiHero Red Chipper Posts: 3 ✭✭
    How many seats are guaranteed? Either way it seems like we are pretty far from the bubble. So without any real ICM considerations yet, this needs to be a call. If villain truly shoves every 3 hands, that would realistically give him a 33% shoving range, which looks something like this:


    Against his entire range you have 61.5% equity with TT. When villain shoves you need to call 6,000 to win 8,450 (if it's without antes), so you're getting 1.4 to 1 in odds. That means that you need roughly 42% equity to break even in chips. Long term a call here is winning by a landslide.

    If it were closer to the bubble we would have to dig deeper into ICM calulations and fold a ton of our hands, especially in a satellite.

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