River Bet Sizing?

Brews_and_CardsBrews_and_Cards Red Chipper Posts: 101 ✭✭
$0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): 234.8 BB
BTN: 104 BB (VPIP: 29.41, PFR: 17.65, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 17)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 20.83, 3Bet Preflop: 14.58, Hands: 124)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 26.00, PFR: 18.79, 3Bet Preflop: 8.95, Hands: 538)
UTG: 181 BB (VPIP: 25.33, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 19.35, Hands: 75)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9:spade: J:spade:

fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) 8:diamond: 9:heart: J:diamond:
BB checks, Hero bets 3 BB, BB raises to 10 BB, Hero calls 7 BB

Turn: (25.5 BB, 2 players) 9:club:
BB bets 18.2 BB, Hero calls 18.2 BB

River: (61.9 BB, 2 players) T:heart:
BB checks, Hero bets 30 BB, BB calls 30 BB

Hero shows 9:spade: J:spade: (Full House, Nines full of Jacks)

Hero wins 115.9 BB

On the flop, I wasn't sure if I should cbet or not. BB seems to be an active reg with his numbers. I'm giving him a range of any SC, better suited gappers, any suited A, K, Q. And middle to small PP. I decided any T, Ad, or two diamond hand would call.

When V X/R, I'm putting him on 88, AT, KT, QT, or nut flush draws. Maybe JT, but there are only 8 combos of that available.

On the turn, Hero makes a boat. I didn't think a raise was appropriate because V bet fairly large and will likely fire again on the river. A raise would likely fold any OESD or FD, and I want to keep those hands in and give them a chance to bluff the river.

River puts 4 to a straight on the board, and V checks. So he's either given up on his FD, or he plans on calling down with his straight. At the time, I was thinking I wanted to give a price that even a 2p hand would call. Maybe a K or Q high straight could raise, as well.

But after the hand, I was thinking an overbet could have been better, as it may look like a missed diamond draw that any straight would call.

Thoughts on the hand and river sizing?


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