Call or fold the river?

JKWolfJKWolf Red Chipper Posts: 5 ✭✭
Hi guys, I recently joined the forum and would love your thoughts on this river decision and how I played the hand in general, thanks in advance....


Ignition - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: $10.13 (VPIP: 31.58, PFR: 5.26, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 39)
CO: $12.79 (VPIP: 34.33, PFR: 29.85, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 67)
Hero (BTN): $12.59
SB: $8.08 (VPIP: 36.51, PFR: 23.81, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 65)
BB: $10.10 (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
UTG: $3.68 (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has :8h : :As
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) BB has
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.25, fold, BB calls $0.15

Hero 2.5x open raise on BU, BB calls, only 5 hands with villain so I give them this calling range:

99-22,AJo-A2o,KQo-K9o,QJo-Q9o,JTo-J9o,T9o,A9s-A2s,KJs-K8s,QJs-Q8s,JTs-J8s,T9s-T8s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s,65s
28%
345 combos

Flop: ($0.55, 2 players) :Kd :3c :Ac
BB checks, Hero bets $0.38, BB raises to $1.35, Hero calls $0.97

I Cbet 2/3 pot and face a 3.5x raise. I think villain is raising with 3 of a kind, 2 pair and flushdraws which makes their range:

33,A3o,A3s,KcJc,KcTc,Kc9c,Kc8c,QcJc,QcTc,Qc9c,Qc8c,JcTc,Jc9c,Jc8c,Tc9c,Tc8c,9c8c,9c7c,8c7c,8c6c,7c6c,6c5c
9.76% previous range
28 combos


Turn: ($3.25, 2 players) :3h
BB bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00

Villain leads 2/3 pot on this turn which reduces their A3 combos from 6 to 4 and 33 from 3 to 1, they continue with 100% of previous range minus these combos:

33,A3o,A3s,KcJc,KcTc,Kc9c,Kc8c,QcJc,QcTc,Qc9c,Qc8c,JcTc,Jc9c,Jc8c,Tc9c,Tc8c,9c8c,9c7c,8c7c,8c6c,7c6c,6c5c
24 combos




River: ($7.25, 2 players) :2d
BB bets $6.50 and is all-in, Hero calls $6.50

Villain shoves river, i'm getting 2:1 on the call
I think villain can shove with all value hand and missed draws so their shoving range is:

33,A3o,A3s - value combos - 5

KcJc,KcTc,Kc9c,Kc8c,QcJc,QcTc,Qc9c,Qc8c,JcTc,Jc9c,Jc8c,Tc9c,Tc8c,9c8c,9c7c,8c7c,8c6c,7c6c,6c5c - bluff combos - 19

I make the call.....







Comments

  • JKWolfJKWolf Red Chipper Posts: 5 ✭✭
    Taking out the Kx combos which villain could check on river:

    QcJc,QcTc,Qc9c,Qc8c,JcTc,Jc9c,Jc8c,Tc9c,Tc8c,9c8c,9c7c,8c7c,8c6c,7c6c,6c5c - bluff combos - 15
  • TheGameKatTheGameKat Posts: 2,142 -
    I don't play NLHE cash online, but my feeling is at this limit many opponents won't take such an aggressive approach with a FD.
    Moderation In Moderation
  • RedRed Red Chipper Posts: 2,094 ✭✭✭✭
    If V would be able to donkbet a naked FD or a MP FD (KcXc), then he could be able to 3bet them pre - or to be more aggro pre.
    Thus I think you're way over evaluating how many (missed) FD V could have
  • RyanH1995RyanH1995 Red Chipper Posts: 33 ✭✭
    I have played a decent amount of 10NL and from what I have seen not many players are willing to triple barrel with missed flush draws at this level. I think river bets especially for this sizing are going to be heavily weighted towards value. Villain arrives at the river with very few value combos but I also don't think he has many if any bluff combos. I would fold here, I have leveled myself into making light calls in spots similar to these and more often than not get shown the goods. I would also probably check this flop.
  • JKWolfJKWolf Red Chipper Posts: 5 ✭✭
    Thanks for your comments everyone, I really appreciate your feedback, you were all correct by the way, Villain showed A3o. This exercise will help me a lot in plugging a leak there in those spots...
  • JKWolfJKWolf Red Chipper Posts: 5 ✭✭
    RyanH1995 wrote: »
    I would also probably check this flop.
    I like this line of checking the flop as if i'm ahead I don't think getting 3 streets of value here and if i'm behind as I was, some pot control would've been good, thanks it's been great to think of the hand in a different way

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