Hero fold or too nitty?

theagent77theagent77 Red Chipper Posts: 32 ✭✭
Very first hand. No reads on my opponents at all

Seat 1 is the button
Seat 1: Player1 ( 1500 ) BTN
Seat 2: Hero ( 1500 ) SB
Seat 3: Player3 ( 1500 ) BB
Seat 4: Player4 ( 1500 ) UTG
Seat 5: Player5 ( 1500 ) UTG+1
Seat 6: Player6 ( 1500 ) MP
Seat 7: Player7 ( 1500 ) MP+1
Seat 8: Player8 ( 1500 ) HJ
Seat 9: Player9 ( 1500 ) CO
Hero posts small blind [10 ].
Player3 posts big blind [20 ].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ :Js:Ac ]
Player4 folds
Player5 folds
Player6 folds
Player7 raises [70 ]
Player8 calls [70 ]
Player9 folds
Player1 folds
Hero calls [60 ]
Player3 folds
** Dealing Flop ** [ :Ts, :2c, :Ad ] {Pot 230}
Hero checks
Player7 checks
Player8 bets [115 ]
Hero calls [115 ]
Player7 folds
** Dealing Turn ** [ :5c ] {Pot 460}
Hero checks
Player8 bets [460 ]
Hero folds
Player8 returned 460
Player8 wins 460

I decided to muck my AJo because I did not want to go broke at the first hand with just TP. I felt in my gut I was behind his range. After today's session I analysed the hand with the replayer.

Villain's Range Preflop:

I did not know his stats, so I wrote down a standard range an unknown player on HJ could cold call with.

TT-22,ATs-A2s,KTs+,QTs+,J9s+,T8s+,98s,87s,ATo-A2o,KJo+,QTo+,JTo


Villain's Range after betting on the flop:

If we assume he prefers betting rather than see a free card, he probably bets with TP or better.

3 combos TT
3 combos 22
A2-ATs
A2-ATo

Villain's Range after betting pot on the turn??

I don't know if he would fire a second barrel with TP bad kicker. If he does, I'm ahead his range. If he bets only with a good hand (sets, two pairs), I made a disciplined fold.

What do you guys think? Am I missing anything in Villain's range attribution?

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