Are we ever folding here?

obliviusoblivius San FranciscoRed Chipper Posts: 108 ✭✭
$0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players

BTN: 103 BB (VPIP: 18.84, PFR: 13.04, 3Bet Preflop: 13.04, Hands: 69)
Hero (SB): 100 BB
BB: 109.4 BB (VPIP: 30.33, PFR: 23.53, 3Bet Preflop: 4.19, Hands: 559)
CO: 127.4 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 100.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has :Ac:Ah
CO calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB, CO calls 2 BB

* Firstly I realize my 3b is too small, my strat was to be a bit "trappy" The CO limper (yes only one hand) in the hand before played spewy so I thought he might 4b. I see now that it's very backwards thinking because I'd still want to go bigger.


Flop : (9 BB, 3 players) :Jc:8h:Ad
Hero bets 3.8 BB, BB calls 3.8 BB, CO calls 3.8 BB

I assume my fcb is too small as well. The board in my mind wasn't too wet so I went smaller to get calls.

Turn : (20.4 BB, 3 players) :7h
Hero bets 16.2 BB, BB raises to 102.6 BB and is all-in, Co folds
(after my tcb i have 77bb eff)
The shove is basically a 2x effective psb. I have approx 60% equity if he shoves Str8's, 2P, and sets and FD's but drops to 55% if I take away the FD's. He has significantly less FD's to bluff since I hold :Ah ... Do we ever fold here? I think not but love to hear other's take

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