Alternate line +EV sted -EV

obliviusoblivius San FranciscoRed Chipper Posts: 108 ✭✭
Upon reviewing this hand I saw an alternate line that would have either won the pot OR I would have been stacked instead of losing 20bb's... looking for input

Yatahay Network - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

MP: 252.5 BB
CO: 157.6 BB
BTN: 136.9 BB
SB: 101.5 BB
Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 76.3 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has :5s :5c
fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 3.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 2.5 BB

Flop : (7.5 BB, 2 players) :4s :Th :3c
Hero checks, BTN bets 7.5 BB, Hero calls 7.5 BB

Turn : (22.5 BB, 2 players) :Ts
Hero checks, BTN bets 11.2 BB, Hero calls 11.2 BB

In my alternate line I x/r Turn bet, Shove River... The ranges I plotted give me 10% more Trips on Turn, which I raise. IF he re raises I fold. IF he flats I think I can remove T's and some FD's.... So the plan would be shove any spade, 3,4 or 5... IS this a spewy line? Thanks

River : (44.9 BB, 2 players) :Qs
Hero checks, BTN checks

BTN shows :Jd :Jc (Two Pair, Jacks and Tens)
(Pre 81%, Flop 87%, Turn 95%)

Hero shows 5c 5s (Two Pair, Tens and Fives)
(Pre 19%, Flop 13%, Turn 5%)

BTN wins 42.7 BB

Comments

  • TheGameKatTheGameKat Posts: 2,633 -
    edited November 4
    Why not explicitly calculate the EV of the different outcomes corresponding to the different parts of your opponent's range? You might have some read on them which we don't.
    Moderation In Moderation

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