Flop a set - Wet board Cooler or bad move?

KJoKJo VermontRed Chipper Posts: 49 ✭✭
Need some help with this. I think I made the right play here and this hand can be listed as a cooler but would like to get any input regarding how I played this hand.

NL Holdem $0.50(BB)
SB ($61.88) [VPIP: 20.8% | PFR: 14.7% | AGG: 25.3% | 3-Bet: 5.8% | Hands: 338]
HERO ($77.61) [VPIP: 24.1% | PFR: 16.9% | AGG: 27.9% | 3-Bet: 7% | Hands: 78093]
HJ ($61.52) [VPIP: 32.8% | PFR: 25% | AGG: 35.6% | 3-Bet: 12.5% | Hands: 209]
CO ($52.19) [VPIP: 14% | PFR: 2.3% | AGG: 41.7% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 46]
BTN ($40.82) [VPIP: 34.8% | PFR: 25.3% | AGG: 35.5% | 3-Bet: 6.5% | Hands: 259]

Dealt to Hero: :9C::9H:

HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $1, SB Folds, HERO Raises To $4, BTN Calls $3

Hero SPR on Flop: [4.46 effective]
Flop ($8.25): :9S::8C::7S:
HERO Bets $4.12 (Rem. Stack: 69.49), BTN Raises To $12.36 (Rem. Stack: 24.46), HERO Raises To $73.61 (allin), BTN Calls $24.46 (allin)

Turn ($118.68): :9S::8C::7S::JC:

River ($118.68): :9S::8C::7S::JC::6H:

BTN shows: :TS::TH:

BTN wins: $78.89


  • TheGameKatTheGameKat Posts: 3,638 -
    Moderation In Moderation
  • hellosummer22hellosummer22 Red Chipper Posts: 71 ✭✭
    You've stacked yourself on 65% chance there. It's good you've played aggressively on the flop to do so. Against all of his range, you have decent equity. There are very few combinations that will have you beat there, and even then you will still have outs.
    One more thing, I don't have info for this opponent, but if he had the only possible combinations that lead you -> J10, he probably wouldn't re-raise you on the flop.
  • ROI RUINERROI RUINER Red Chipper Posts: 214 ✭✭
    edited February 19
    I agree. If you are behind then you can improve. You are ahead of all draws. You are only behind 4 combos of JTs , 4 combos of 65s or maybe 16 combos of JT if you play in a looser game but there’s several draws that may call as well as overpairs putting you on a semi bluff as well as smaller sets.

    It’s a spot where you can be called by worse. In the long run I think this is +EV.

    In the short run the dealer dealt the J and then the 6 just for good measure. lol.

  • DogUmbrellaDogUmbrella Red Chipper Posts: 4 ✭✭
    Only thing I could see doing differently is betting 2/3 or even full pot on the flop for more value, since there are so many hands that can call here.

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