Fold Equity - Hand

PajoryanPajoryan Red Chipper Posts: 64 ✭✭
$0.05 NL - Holdem - 9 players

BB: $5.83
UTG: $7.55
UTG+1: $4.63
MP: $2.89
MP+1: $4.57
MP+2: $5.53
CO: $4.78
Hero (BTN): $9.04
SB: $6.18

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05, MP+2 posts penalty blind $0.07

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.14) Hero has :TS::QS:

UTG calls $0.05, fold, MP calls $0.05, fold, MP+2 checks, CO raises to $0.15, Hero raises to $0.70, fold, BB calls $0.65, fold, fold, fold, CO calls $0.55

Flop: ($2.29, 3 players) :9S::7H::2C:
BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $1.46,

I'm currently studying Fold Equity on CORE and want to check that my understanding of the Math is correct.
Breakeven % Calculation:
Risk / (Risk + Reward)
1.46 / (1.46+2.29) = 39%
According to my HUD stat on villain (albeit over a small sample size of 80 hands) his FCB is 50%

So I consider this bluff / semi bluff profitable as my fold equity is 50% and my BE% is 39.
Correct?


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