NL20 Flop set

Zsolti07Zsolti07 Red Chipper Posts: 115 ✭✭
Villain (132 hands): 20/14/2,8 - postflop agg faktor: 1,5 - flop cbet: 33

PREFLOP:
Villain seems reg. His first open in UTG is 17% but the sample is just 132 hands. His open range in UTG is about:

22+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 87s, 76s, AJo+, KQo

FLOP:

His cbet% is 28, he checks maybe his entire range here 4way.
He check/raises. He don't seems to very aggro. Should I have my set fold if I assume, that he check/raises only with 2 pair+ and straight draw? Two pair can he have only 76s, it's 1 combo and maybe A7s (2 combos) or A6s (1 combo) when he first raises in UTG with them.
I have 37% equity agains AA,77-66,A7s-A6s,76s and 17% if he don't have A7s and A6s in his range.

Thank you.
Zsolti07

Hand Information
Holdem NL 0.10/0.20, 0.2 BB (6 handed).
Hand History converter courtesy of pokerhandreplays.com

Table Information
Seat: 1 Nomaxone ($33.05) Dealer
Seat: 3 Ddhans ($36.05) Small Blind
Seat: 5 Steliosntina ($6.59) Big Blind
Seat: 6 boollbet ($20)
Seat: 8 HERO ($29.6)
Seat: 10 pmrsbby ($22.14)
Dealt to HERO
6S.png 6H.png 

Preflop (Pot:0.3)
boollbet    RAISE $0.6
HERO    CALL $0.6
pmrsbby    FOLD
Nomaxone    CALL $0.6
Ddhans    CALL $0.5
Steliosntina    FOLD

Flop(Pot: $2.6)
7S.png AH.png 6D.png 

Ddhans    CHECK
boollbet    CHECK
HERO    BET $1.4
Nomaxone    FOLD
Ddhans    FOLD
boollbet    RAISE $4.2

Comments

  • RedRed Red Chipper Posts: 2,396 ✭✭✭✭
    Zsolti07 wrote: »
    His open range in UTG is about:
    22+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 87s, 76s, AJo+, KQo
    Zsolti07 wrote: »
    I have 37% equity agains AA,77-66,A7s-A6s,76s and 17% if he don't have A7s and A6s in his range.
    I see a discrepancy here...
    Zsolti07 wrote: »
    Flop(Pot: $2.6)
    7S.png AH.png 6D.png 

    Ddhans    CHECK
    boollbet    CHECK
    HERO    BET $1.4
    Nomaxone    FOLD
    Ddhans    FOLD
    boollbet    RAISE $4.2

    Why 1.4$ ?
  • Zsolti07Zsolti07 Red Chipper Posts: 115 ✭✭
    The first range is villain's open range. The second is with witch he check/raises how I think.

    I'm not sure about the bet size but it's a dry flop that's why I choosed this size.
  • cxy123cxy123 Red Chipper Posts: 77 ✭✭
    If V doesn't have A7 preflop V cannot suddenly have A7 post flop. Suited A can definitely be part of his range though imo.

    My guess is V has lots of TP/OP here which can call and what you want to target. The check/raise is TP (AK, AQ) or sets imo. If V has A7 all the better. I'm not sure KK-QQ takes this line. Lots of top pair combos and 6 combos of over sets. I think raising and calling both work. Looking to get it in though.

    Middle set is never a fold. Bottom set is almost never a fold. At 100bb really tough to fold a set. Do you really think V never has AK? AQ?
  • Zsolti07Zsolti07 Red Chipper Posts: 115 ✭✭
    edited August 30
    cxy123 wrote: »
    If V doesn't have A7 preflop V cannot suddenly have A7 post flop.

    Yes, I did want to say, I'm not sure, if V can have A7.
    cxy123 wrote: »
    The check/raise is TP (AK, AQ) or sets imo

    C/R with TPTK 4way... I don't know, I think it's not typical.
    cxy123 wrote: »
    Middle set is never a fold.

    I don't folded but V continued on the turn too.
    I don't fold it either sets and I went to showdown but I assumed that on this flop and turn he don't bluffs and for value can he do it just with AA, A7s or 77 and I beat only A7s.

    Here's the full line:

    Hand Information
    Holdem NL 0.10/0.20, 0.2 BB (6 handed).
    Hand History converter courtesy of pokerhandreplays.com

    Table Information
    Seat: 1 Nomaxone ($33.05) Dealer
    Seat: 3 Ddhans ($36.05) Small Blind
    Seat: 5 Steliosntina ($6.59) Big Blind
    Seat: 6 boollbet ($20)
    Seat: 8 HERO ($29.6)
    Seat: 10 pmrsbby ($22.14)
    Dealt to HERO
    6S.png 6H.png 

    Preflop (Pot:0.3)
    boollbet    RAISE $0.6
    HERO    CALL $0.6
    pmrsbby    FOLD
    Nomaxone    CALL $0.6
    Ddhans    CALL $0.5
    Steliosntina    FOLD

    Flop(Pot: $2.6)
    7S.png AH.png 6D.png 

    Ddhans    CHECK
    boollbet    CHECK
    HERO    BET $1.4
    Nomaxone    FOLD
    Ddhans    FOLD
    boollbet    RAISE $4.2
    HERO    CALL $2.8

    Turn(Pot: $11)
    7S.png AH.png 6D.png 4C.png 

    boollbet    BET $4.8
    HERO    CALL $4.8

    River(Pot: $20.6)
    7S.png AH.png 6D.png 4C.png 9C.png 

    boollbet    BET $10.4
    HERO    CALL $10.4

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