2/5 Squeeze Spot?

Skors3Skors3 Red Chipper Posts: 669 ✭✭✭
edited November 2015 in Live Poker Hands
2/5 Casino 8 handed

Villian: UTG+1 $1k. He is a local pro. He open raises frequently and seems to play well post flop. I have seen him but this is the first time playing with him. He can't know much about me.

Hero: HJ $700. I have been at the table for maybe an hour. I recently doubled up by flopping a set of Aces against another local pro. I have raised all pots I played and have 3-bet 2/3 times by this point, so I have been active.

Villain: $20
UTG+2 Calls $20
Hero: :Kc:7c

Pros for squeezing:
*Villain opens too many pots, or at least many pots
*I have a :K? blocker
*I am suited
*I have position
*I have skill edge on the caller

Cons for squeezing:
*Villain is a pro, so no skill edge on him
*Despite opening frequently, he is in early position
* :Kc:7c isn't that great overall

Any other pros/cons I'm missing? Do some greatly outweigh the others?

Is this a good squeeze spot?

Comments

  • persuadeopersuadeo Red Chipper Posts: 4,308 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Good list overall, sounds like you are really bringing it to these guys these days. Villain's position and frequency are the top items to consider. Missing one or two important ones: how the pro reacts to three bets (fight or flight) and how the blinds react. The button is slightly overrated as a spot to three bet from because people expect action from that spot. I would rate it 6/10.
  • Skors3Skors3 Red Chipper Posts: 669 ✭✭✭
    how the pro reacts to three bets (fight or flight)

    I don't know how he'd respond, so is that more or less of a reason to try the squeeze?
  • Wiki_LeaksWiki_Leaks Red Chipper Posts: 564 ✭✭✭
    What do you know about the caller? Has he been continuing after raises/3bets a lot?

    You mentioned you have been pretty active. If you have been 3betting a lot the pro is not going to let you push him around.

    It doesnt say villains position but i assume its UTG since caller is UTG +2. I wouldnt think pro is opening utg light here.
  • persuadeopersuadeo Red Chipper Posts: 4,308 ✭✭✭✭✭
    It's neutral. But it puts more weight on his EP range. Without knowing how he plays against 3 bets in general I'd again think is a just a little better than average spot. If he was UTG I'd definitely pass.

    I'd take it as much to set up the dynamic as the spot itself. I think this would look much stronger from the SB.
  • Wiki_LeaksWiki_Leaks Red Chipper Posts: 564 ✭✭✭
    persuadeo wrote:
    I'd take it as much to set up the dynamic as the spot itself.

    Can you elaborate on this point?
  • persuadeopersuadeo Red Chipper Posts: 4,308 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Basically you are thinking long term when 3 betting light, thinking about what this is going to lead to with your villain, and you have to realize villain is going to adapt- but not yet. So it's best to start off with light three bets rather than wait for stronger holdings, if you are going to be playing hard at someone or the table in general.
  • jeffncjeffnc Red Chipper Posts: 5,001 ✭✭✭✭✭
    a) it's practically a cliche to raise from the button
    b) villain 1 must know you're at least a decent thinking player
    c) villain 1 did raise EP, so this tends toward strength even though he is active
    d) you've been seen 3-betting

    Those 4 cons tilt this toward a fold for me. In fact, I think this would be a pretty decent spot to raise QQ+ big (like $120), for the reasons mentioned above.
  • Skors3Skors3 Red Chipper Posts: 669 ✭✭✭
    A couple responses refer to the button, but I was in the Hi-jack.

    Does this make the play look stronger because I have 2 players yet to act?

    Or does having 2 players yet to act make this less of a good(?) play?
  • persuadeopersuadeo Red Chipper Posts: 4,308 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Ok, my fault. Confused position with the Q9 hand.

    From the HJ, now having to get through four players and the EP opener I think I have to pass on the spot. It does look strong but I could run into a flatter from the button, or a play from the blinds, never mind the targeted villain. I'd need another factor, like a stronger hand, or seeing some preloaded folds from the players after me, to swing it back to a squeeze.
  • jeffncjeffnc Red Chipper Posts: 5,001 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Skors3 wrote:
    A couple responses refer to the button, but I was in the Hi-jack.

    Does this make the play look stronger because I have 2 players yet to act?

    Sorry, picked that up from another post I guess. Yes, it does make the play look stronger. Still not crazy about it though.
  • Skors3Skors3 Red Chipper Posts: 669 ✭✭✭
    Thanks for the responses. Looks like I made the correct fold, but I wanted to explore the possibility.
  • persuadeopersuadeo Red Chipper Posts: 4,308 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I think it's very close overall.
  • SaintsTigersSaintsTigers Red Chipper Posts: 238 ✭✭
    The fact that the opener is in early position is determinative to me. EP openers are supposed to have a strong range, so that's what I'd give him credit for and fold. While you did say he likes to open a lot, that's not enough info for me to discount the strength of his EP range. Pay attention for a few more orbits and see if he opens a lot from EP and which EP hands he shows down. If he does, then your squeeze idea looks more attractive.

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