45 man turbo 7$ KTs

Marc-KevinMarc-Kevin Red Chipper Posts: 27
PokerStars - $6.42+$0.58|40/80 Ante 10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): 1,544
BTN: 1,697
SB: 1,068
BB: 1,718 (VPIP: 70.59, PFR: 41.18, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 17)
UTG: 1,140
UTG+1: 3,017
MP: 3,257
MP+1: 1,189
8 players post ante of 10, SB posts SB 40, BB posts BB 80

Pre Flop: (pot: 200) Hero has :Kh:Th

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 160, fold, fold, BB calls 80

Flop: (440, 2 players) :8c:7c:5h
BB checks, Hero bets 233, BB calls 233

Turn: (906, 2 players) :8h
BB checks, Hero :random


I was reviewing hands and came across this one, Steal attempt and failed CB... Now with the SPR being close to 1 at that point doest it make sense to push? Flop and turn cards hit smack in the middle of his calling range pre flop, but Im still around 35% equity in my estimation... What do you guys think?

Comments

  • Marc-KevinMarc-Kevin Red Chipper Posts: 27
    This is the PF range I assigned Villain, although I think it might be wider than that on the weak side.
    23732490951_030ae0d6ca_m.jpgSans titre by [url=https://www.flickr.com/photos/[email protected]/ [/url], Flickr
    Thats what I assume he continues with. The sizing of my Cbet was weak IMO and I think it should've been a tad bigger.

    23815498465_967ab593b0_m.jpgflop by Flickr
    When the :8h comes on the turn, the real question is: Is he folding his draws to a push, because it drops his continuation range from 55% to 23%.
    So when Villains calls all-in with draws : We've got 30% equity and need him to fold 17% (Villain folds 45%) to break even
    When villains folds draws:: We've got 17% equity and need him to fold 40% (Villain folds 77%) to break even...

    I just ran the situation with NO equity when called and Villains needs to fold 56% of the time which means he would need to add middle pairs and weak pairs to his calling range...

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