Missed value bet on the river?

JfdiwinsJfdiwins Red Chipper Posts: 52
Hi,
Should I be betting the river here for value vs a big fish?
I bet 70% on the flop and 90% on the turn. The river brings a flush, straight draw and potentially a better 2 pair hand. The fish doesn't 3 bet much so they wouldn't necessarily 3 bet AK pre flop and they have taken check call lines post flop rather than raising when faced with aggression. Their high aggression factor has come from barrelling as the aggressor and has normally involved betting the river (bets 50% on the river as the aggressor).

£20.00 GBP NL Texas Hold'em
Table Bitlis (Real Money)
Seat 5 is the button
Seat 1: Player1 ( £31.55 GBP ) - VPIP: 39, PFR: 19, 3B: 0, AF: 1.8, Hands: 143
Seat 3: Player3 ( £20.00 GBP ) - VPIP: 23, PFR: 17, 3B: 5, AF: 1.5, Hands: 134
Seat 5: Player5 ( £22.62 GBP ) - VPIP: 17, PFR: 12, 3B: 6, AF: 2.4, Hands: 530
Seat 6: Player6 ( £28.22 GBP ) - VPIP: 80, PFR: 28, 3B: 7, AF: 4.1, Hands: 151
Seat 8: Player8 ( £21.17 GBP ) - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 9, AF: 3.4, Hands: 2289
Seat 10: Hero ( £48.21 GBP ) - VPIP: 24, PFR: 17, 3B: 7, AF: 1.7, Hands: 228366
Player6 posts small blind [£0.10 GBP].
Player8 posts big blind [£0.20 GBP].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ Td Ah ]
Hero raises [£0.60 GBP]
Player1 calls [£0.60 GBP]
Player3 folds
Player5 folds
Player6 calls [£0.50 GBP]
Player8 folds
** Dealing Flop ** [ 3c, Ad, 8d ]
Player6 checks
Hero bets [£1.40 GBP]
Player1 folds
Player6 calls [£1.40 GBP]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Tc ]
Player6 checks
Hero bets [£4.32 GBP]
Player6 calls [£4.32 GBP]
** Dealing River ** [ Kd ]
Player6 checks
Hero checks
Hero wins £12.77 GBP from main pot
Player6 shows [Ac, 5d ]

Comments

  • SplitSuitSplitSuit RCP Coach Posts: 3,936 -
    Oh yeah...you HAVE to bet here. You could certainly bet/fold if you think his CR range is too strong...but he still has hands in his range that he could cry-call with (like exactly the Ax kind of hand he ended up showing up with =) )
    My new book lays out the playbook for AK. Grab your copy and start Optimizing Ace King!

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