Straight Flush Gutshot

SullySully Red Chipper Posts: 780 ✭✭✭
1-2 live

Villain-Bu $200- Sat down 30 minutes, young, unknown, no real actions yet
Hero-MP-$550- Older

Hero in MP opens for $17 with :8c:8s
Villain in Bu calls

Pot $37

Flop: :6c:7c:Tc

Hero bets $20
Villain raises to $60

pot $117, $40 to call

Thoughts??

Comments

  • The MuleThe Mule Red Chipper Posts: 790 ✭✭✭
    It's not quite the mega-draw I was expecting when I clicked on the link.

    You have one good out and a marginal hand. I think I'm folding.
  • SullySully Red Chipper Posts: 780 ✭✭✭
    What do you think villain holds? In your opinion, what are the percentages of villain holding sets, straights, flushes, flush draws?

    If it's a set I have a ton of outs
  • The MuleThe Mule Red Chipper Posts: 790 ✭✭✭
    Assuming a pre-flop calling range for the villain of:
    JJ-33,AQs-ATs,KTs+,QTs+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,54s,AQo+

    And that he would raise non-nut flush, straights, sets, two pair and nut flush draws, then combo wise:
    Flush: 7 combos
    Straight: 2
    Sets: 3
    2 Pair: 2
    Nut flush draw: 6

    Caveat that I'm a terrible hand reader, but I still think he will be heavily weighted to value.

    I think even if you are ahead, all you have is a bluff catcher that will be difficult to call another two streets with. And if you hit one of your draws, you are out of position and have almost no implied odds.

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