99 EP 8 handed

$.25/.50 home game
limp
hero bet $4.25/fold/fold/ CO calls/BTN fold/ SB fold/BB call/Limped calls (pot $17.00)
flop 2c5c10h
check/check/ hero shove $17/CO call rest fold.
turn 7d river Qc
hero 9s9h
Villian 67c
Pre flop was Villan call good?
post flop as price right for call?
i am tightest player at game my range in that spot with knowing what i will get for calls 88+,AQs+, KQs, AK
flopzilla says 9h9s (62%)vs 67c(38%)on that flop.
i looking t this from math stand point.
limp
hero bet $4.25/fold/fold/ CO calls/BTN fold/ SB fold/BB call/Limped calls (pot $17.00)
flop 2c5c10h
check/check/ hero shove $17/CO call rest fold.
turn 7d river Qc
hero 9s9h
Villian 67c
Pre flop was Villan call good?
post flop as price right for call?
i am tightest player at game my range in that spot with knowing what i will get for calls 88+,AQs+, KQs, AK
flopzilla says 9h9s (62%)vs 67c(38%)on that flop.
i looking t this from math stand point.
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Comments
The flop call looks correct from a mathematical standpoint; he's getting 2:1 on the call so he'd be correct to call with anything with equity >= to 33%, and he has more than that per the numbers you've provided.
Sorry you got beat OP.
Also, V might just not know the math, so expecting him to act according to it is a misread of your opponent on your part.
True but on that flop even a $5 bet would likely get folds from all but draws and 10x,,, they arent folding to a pot sized bet on the flop anyway
So check flop if no action then shove turn if not a club. Flop shove here is essentially a bluff
This is what me and my buddy have talked about in this game. They aren't using the math .She actually said she only played that hand because she has been having a lot of luck lately with 67s We all play short stacked typical but in is $20 couple others buy for $40, but those 2 are huge passive calling stations and have been good for my bankroll. When I shoved on flop was 2 part, checks in front of me and no A or K on flop. I didn't want to give V a chance to bluff shove if I checked.
As for misread opponent she has made moves and table talk like she has some what of a clue, but with that this game has progressed in table talk and I have taking specific notes on players. This is a fun game they have no clue how much info they are giving away, also how much info of what they think of what and how I play. When I have folded or bought pots how wrong they are.
Would you have called if she did? (Let's assume for sake of argument you don't know for sure she's bluffing :) ) If so, why? And if so, why would you not want her to bluff here?
I don't necessarily know all the answers, I'm just giving us something to think about.
If she will always call with her flush draw if you push, and she will always push with her flush draw if you check, and you will always call because you think she's bluffing, then there is no difference between these two scenarios. The differences, if any, lie in other scenarios.
So, what are they?
I like the questions. Those are the things that me and my friend discuss. One answer is in my notes on her no shove on flush draw, but would shove with the ace on flop if she had ace to drive out flush draws. I call small bet from her and shove non club on turn that is only A on flop. Now with another guy who loves to bet when i delay cbet. with A on flop i check shove to his bet, because he bets at about 80%+ rate when i am preflop raiser and check on scary flop.
thanks Jeffnc this what i looking for different line of thought.