HAND #28: Hero SB 8d7d

NuttedNutterNuttedNutter Red Chipper Posts: 44
HAND #28

MP2 SUPER NIT OPEN RANGE: AA-66,AKo-ATo,KQo-KTo,QJo-QTo,JTo,AKs-ATs,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs

%FORM: 17%
COMBOS: 208

More likely to call or 3bet w/..

JJ? Call. Table has been passive for 4 hours, MP2 Super Nit just opened and there's 3 others left to act w/ a spewy lag btn. I think he'd be more inclined to call because of these factors. Doesn't want to face a 4bet from spewy lag btn and super nit only plays AA so he wants to just see a flop.

AQ? Call. Same reasoning as JJ, they play similarly so I'd think he'd think along the same lines being that he's a more passive side spectrum tag he hasn't been described as to 3bet these sort of cuspy hands.

Axs? Call. I think w/ the dynamic described he doesn't want to get put into a tough situation if he gets 4bet by the btn after 3betting the super nit lite. It doesn't make sense to 3bet the super nit lite anyways as the play isn't likely to generate many folds and he'd be up against a nutted range.

CO FLAT RANGE: JJ-22,AKo-AJo,KQo,AKs-A2s,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs-J9s,T9s-T8s,98s,87s,76s

%FORM: 15.7%
COMBOS: 192

Would BB call or 3bet w/..

TT? Call.
AQ? Call.
86s? Call.

BB CALL CLOSE ACTION RANGE: TT-22,AKo-ATo,KQo-KTo,QJo-QTo,JTo-J9o,T9o-T8o,98o,87o,AKs-A2s,KQs-K2s,QJs-Q2s,JTs-J6s,T9s-T6s,98s-96s,87s-85s,76s-74s,65s-63s,54s-53s,43s

%FORM: 34.8%
COMBOS: 426

:3H: :5D: :6D:

CO likely to check or bet w/..

76? Yes.
Overpairs? Yes
KQ? No. With 2 others behind on this flop combined w/ the fact that he was not the PFR he likely knows he has no FE.

CO BET FLOP RANGE: JJ-22,A6s,76s
%OF PREVIOUS RANGE: 28.3%
COMBOS: 51

Is CO more likely to fold, call or re-raise w/..

Overpairs? Calls.
Draws? Calls.
Pair+draw? Calls.

CO WEAK TAG CALL FLOP C-R: JJ-22,A6s,A4s,87s,76s,AdKd,AdQd,AdJd,AdTd,Ad9d,Ad3d,Ad2d,KdQd,KdJd,KdTd,QdJd,QdTd,JdTd,Jd9d,Td9d

%OF PREVIOUS RANGE: 40.6%
COMBOS: 180

T: :KS:

Would CO Weak Tag call $100 Ks turn w/..

2pair? No 2pair in range that makes sense. The only 2pair I think would make sense that he'd hypothetically have on flop would be 65s. I thought about including it in his pf flat range, however it was one of those cuspy cuts off at 76s given the dynamic described. If he had 65s on flop I think he would've re-raised it. Sets would've done the same.

FD's? Yes. Would call.

Pair+draw? Yes. Would call.

CO WEAK TAG CALL TURN RANGE: 44,A4s,87s,AdKd,AdQd,AdJd,AdTd,Ad9d,Ad3d,Ad2d,KdQd,KdJd,KdTd,QdJd,QdTd,JdTd,Jd9d,Td9d

%OF PREVIOUS RANGE: 38.4%
COMBOS: 28

R: :6S:

Would CO check or bet w/..

Missed Draws? I believe he would do it w/ his TP+draw hands that missed like AdKd, KdQd-KdTd. But I don't think he would do it w/ just bare missed draws. Seems like the type that would just check-behind and give up.

99? Check behind
54? Check behind

CO WEAK TAG RIVER AI RANGE: AdKd,KdQd,KdJd,KdTd
%OF PREVIOUS RANGE: 14.3%
COMBOS: 4




























Comments

  • Mark FlemingMark Fleming Red Chipper Posts: 76 ✭✭
    edited June 2018
    Hand 28
    Preflop: Super Nit will open tight in MP2 with 13% (165 combos) QQ-22,AQo-AJo,KQo-KJo,QJo,AQs-ATs,KQs-KJs,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s. They are opening with the best pairs. He’s opening with some Broadways, and some AX, not many. He’s on very few suited connectors. I think $10 is a weak bet even for Super Nit so I took him off AA, KK, and AK.
    Weak Tag in the CO calls with all pairs but would have 3B with AA-QQ. He has a smattering of high-end sc and TJo is the minimum Broadway. He does not have AK or AQs. It is a range of 17% (211 combos) JJ-22,AQo-ATo,KQo-KTo,QJo-QTo,JTo,AJs-ATs,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs-J9s,T9s-T8s,98s,87s
    The Unknown in BB has nothing to lose and would call with anything remotely reasonable but he’s off of some premos because he did not 4B. A range of 42% (519) JJ-22,AQo-A2o,KQo-K7o,QJo-Q8o,JTo-J8o,T9o-T8o,98o,87o,76o,65o,AQs-A2s,KQs-K7s,QJs-Q8s,JTs-J8s,T9s-T7s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s-53s,43s.

    Flop :3h :5d :6d
    It’s checked around to the CO so he’s feeling bold and bets $35. And I let middle pair and Ace high through the filters. He’s on 51% of previous (241) JJ-33,AQo-A4o,A2o,87o,76o,65o,AQs-A4s,A2s,97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s-53s,43s,Ad3d,KdQd,KdJd,KdTd,Kd9d,QdJd,QdTd,Qd9d,JdTd,Jd9d,Td9d.
    I check-raise nearly twice the pot and it folds around to weak Tag in CO who calls. I back off of the Ace high combos and middle pair so his range becomes 27% (130) JJ-33,A6o,A4o,87o,76o,65o,A6s,A4s,97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s-53s,43s,AdQd,AdJd,AdTd,Ad9d,Ad3d,Ad2d,KdQd,KdJd,KdTd,Kd9d,QdJd,QdTd,Qd9d,JdTd,Jd9d,Td9d

    Turn :Ks
    I bet $100 and CO commits to a call that is most of his stack. I don’t like where this is going, my equity has tanked, I’ve led myself down the primrose path. CO’s range beats me aplenty. I have taken him off of flush draws, 52% (67) 66-33,A4o,87o,65o,A4s,97s,87s,65s-64s,54s-53s,43s,KdQd,KdJd,KdTd,Kd9d. It's purely academic at this point cause I'm beaten.

    River :6s
    The weak Tag is not all in with missed draws, 99, or 54, he’s at 28% (17) 66-55,33,65o,65s,KdQd,KdJd,KdTd,Kd9d.

    FOLD!
  • bogata XLbogata XL Red Chipper Posts: 29 ✭✭
    Openraise range of a SUPER NIT on MP2

    77+
    A9s+
    ATo+
    KJs+
    KQo
    QJs
    JTs
    T9s

    145 combo's 11,8%

    Standard-openraise-range MP is about 16%

    Callrange CO

    CO will 3bet QQ+ and AKs
    I think small pocketpairs 22 - 44 he will not play versus a supernit.
    AQ and AKo I give a filter 50%

    55 - JJ
    A6s - AQs
    AJo - AKo
    KJs+
    KQo
    76s+

    126 combo's 10%

    BB callrange
    QQ+ and AKs he will sqeese.

    22 - JJ
    A2s - AQs
    ATo+
    All BrBr
    65s+
    86s+ suited gappers

    270 combo's 22%

    FLOP
    Flop is checked around and CO is IP and bets.
    The flop is low ranked so he can make a stab with overcards and hope to take the pot down.
    The biggest part of his range is overcards, 82combo's, 72% of his range.
    I give the overcards a filter 20%, but maybe this can be higher.

    He will bet
    OP 77 - JJ = 24 combo's
    Sets 55 and 66 = 6 cb
    TP with A6s and 76s = 6 cb
    FD = 8,5 cb is only 7% of his range!
    OESD with 87s = 3 cb , is only 2% of his range
    GS
    Ahigh = 44 cb = 38% of his range. I give Ahigh a filter of 50%

    Betrange CO on Flop
    78 combo's 66% of his prefloprange

    I x/raise and we have to think with which hands he would reraise?
    Sets he will reraise.
    I think OP 99 - JJ he will reraise for value and protection.
    Overcards he will fold.
    He will call draws and pairs.

    Flop-Call range CO when we x/r him
    OP 77 and 88 = 6 cb
    TP = 6 cb
    FD = 8,5 cb
    OESD = 3 cb
    GS = 12 cb

    29,5 combo's 38% of his betrange.

    Our equity versus his range is 56%.

    TURN
    He calls 1/2potsize bet and that is half of his stack. SPR is very small now.
    He will do that with NutFD and also with TP and also with Pair+Draw.
    I think he will fold the OESD, because that draw is too weak.

    Turn-call-range CO
    TP with KJs and KQs = 2 cb
    FD = 8,5 combo's (this includes the KJs and the KQs)

    8,5 combo's 29% of his floprange

    Our equity versus his range is 28%.

    RIVER
    We miss our draws and check and give up when CO goes all-in.
    Even if he goes all in with his busted FD's he beats us. Because he will win with Thigh, Jhigh, Qhigh or Ahigh versus our 8high.

    It is possible that he goes all in with his busted draws, because he thinks that if he checks behind he doesn't have showdownvalue and will loose. And if he goes all-in he has some foldequity.
  • Naïm TerracheNaïm Terrache Red Chipper Posts: 34 ✭✭
    MP2 : AA-99,AKo-AQo,KQo,AKs-AJs,KQs,QJs

    When building the CO’s calling range consider if they are more
    likely to call or 3bet with:
    JJ? Call
    AQ? Call
    AXs? Call some of them

    CO : JJ-22,AKo-AQo,KQo,AQs-A8s,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs

    Now think about which hands the BB would call with closingJJ-22,AQo-A8o,KQo-KTo,QJo-QTo,JTo,T9o,AQs-A2s,KQs-K9s,QJs-Q9s,JTs-J9s,T9s-T8s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s,54s
    the preflop action. Would they call or 3bet with:
    TT? Call
    AQ? Raise
    86s? Call

    BB : JJ-22,AQo-A8o,KQo-KTo,QJo-QTo,JTo,T9o,AQs-A2s,KQs-K9s,QJs-Q9s,JTs-J9s,T9s-T8s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s,54s


    After everyone checks to the CO, do you think the CO is likely to check or bet with:
    76? Not in his range
    Overpairs? Bet
    KQ? Check

    Also consider which hands the CO would re-raise you with. Are they more likely to fold, call, or re-raise with:
    Overpairs? Call
    Draws? Call
    Pair + Draw? Not in his range

    CO Range : JJ-77,44,22,AdQd,AdJd,AdTd,Ad9d,KdQd,KdJd,KdTd,QdJd,QdTd,JdTd


    When the CO calls $100 on the turn they are putting in a solid chunk of their stack. Would they do this with:
    Two Pair? Not in his range
    Flush Draws? Half of the time
    Pair + Draw? Not in his range

    JJ-77,AdQd,AdJd,AdTd,Ad9d,KdQd,KdJd,KdTd

    Even though you will not call this all-in, practice your hand reading and consider if the CO would check or bet with:
    Missed Draws? Check
    99? Check
    54? Not in his range

Leave a Comment

BoldItalicStrikethroughOrdered listUnordered list
Emoji
Image
Align leftAlign centerAlign rightToggle HTML viewToggle full pageToggle lights
Drop image/file