HAND #39: HERO BTN vs MP2 WEAK TAG

NuttedNutterNuttedNutter Red Chipper Posts: 44 ✭✭
MP2 WEAK TAG CALL 3BET RANGE: JJ-99,AQo-AJo,KQo-KJo,AQs-AJs,KQs-KJs

%FORM: 6.18%
COMBOS: 82

HERO BTN 3BET RANGE: AA-77,AKo-AJo,KQo,AKs-A2s,KQs-K9s,QJs-Q9s,JTs-J9s,T9s,98s

%FORM: 14.2%
COMBOS: 188

FLOP: :TH::4S::4D:

HERO EQ: 55.893%
VILL EQ: 44.107%

MP2 WEAK TAG FLOP CBET RANGE: JJ-TT

%OF PREVIOUS RANGE: 11.4%
COMBOS: 9

HERO CALL FLOP CBET: AA-TT,ATs,A4s,KTs,QTs,JTs,T9s

%OF PREVIOUS RANGE: 24.7%
COMBOS: 44

T: :2H:

HERO EQ: 45.755%
VILL EQ: 54.245%

HERO BET TURN RANGE: AA-TT,A4s

%OF PREVIOUS RANGE: 65.9%
COMBOS: 29

MP2 WEAK TAG CHECK CALL TURN RANGE: JJ-TT

%OF PREVIOUS RANGE: 100%
COMBOS: 9

R: :QH:

HERO EQ: 67.692%
VILL EQ: 32.308%

MP2 WEAK TAG CHECK CALL RIVER SHOVE RANGE: TT

%OF PREVIOUS RANGE: 33.3%
COMBOS: 3

HERO RIVER SHOVE RANGE: QQ,TT

%OF PREVIOUS RANGE: 23.1%
COMBOS: 6

HERO EQ: 100%
VILL EQ: 0%




















Comments

  • Mark FlemingMark Fleming Red Chipper Posts: 76 ✭✭
    Hand 39
    Preflop: I’m wide ranging because of position and my 3B might indicate strength, or a re-steal. I’m not capping myself, 24% (318) AA-22,AKo-ATo,KQo-KTo,QJo-QTo,JTo,T9o,AKs-A2s,KQs-K6s,QJs-QTs,JTs-J9s,T9s,98s,87s,76s. I’m in position

    A raise of $30 seems weak but a call to my 3X seems strong. Wouldn’t even a Weak TAg 4B QQ-AA or AK? Yes, he’s capped now. JJ-22,AQo-ATo,KQo-KJo,QJo,JTo,AQs-A8s,KQs-KJs,QJs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,54s. OOP

    Equites are 51/49

    Flop :Th:4s:4d
    He bets almost pot sized and I only call. Does Weak TAg have one of those marginally possible combos, a set or A4s ?

    There goes all the SD and FD but my equity improves. It pretty much gets down to OP and TP, everything else is so marginally possible. 31% previous (90) AA-TT,44,ATo,KTo,QTo,JTo,T9o,ATs,A4s,KTs,QTs,JTs,T9s

    Villain is in the same boat, down to TP and OP almost. He got capped at the preflop so now more of my pairs win. 20% previous (36) JJ-TT,44,ATo,JTo,ATs,T9s,54s.

    Range equities are 52/48

    Turn :2h
    I’m betting $200 and get called. I’d say we have almost the same hand in the range.
    The 2h tips the scales of equity to Villain. 100% (36) JJ-TT,44,ATo,JTo,ATs,T9s,54s.

    I still in with 100% previous (90) AA-TT,44,ATo,KTo,QTo,JTo,T9o,ATs,A4s,KTs,QTs,JTs,T9s.

    Equities 47/52

    River :Qh
    Ouch! Equity landslide with one card. Villain is either barreling me (unlikely) or he’s sitting on stuff like set, FH, Quads, Flush. He’s on 36% (30) TT,44,54s

    Whereas I’m still hoping for my TP or OP. 36% of previous (30) AA-QQ,TT,44,QTo,A4s,QTs

    I go all-in and get called so I’m now in big trouble.

    Range equities 17/83
  • sportlasportla Red Chipper Posts: 18 ✭✭
    #39
    PF-Range 5%/68Combos
    AA-99,AKo,AKs-AJs,A5s,KQs

    TAG C-3B-Range 12%/154Combos
    QQ-22,AKo-AJo,KQo,AKs-ATs,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs

    Flop Th 4s 4d
    Equity 62%:32%
    ---
    Flop C-Range 94%/61Combos
    TT-99,AKo,AKs-AJs,A5s

    Flop TAG B-Range 20%/28Combos
    QQ-TT,44,ATs,KTs,QTs,JTs

    Turn 2h
    Equity goes extremly down to 37%:63%

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