Expected Value #2

Eager StudentEager Student Red Chipper Posts: 66
edited April 2015 in General Concepts
Expected Value Example 2

1-2 No Limit

BB 111 :9s:8d
UTG 128 :Kc:Ks
MP1 375 :Ad:Ah


UTG limps UTG+1 Folds MP1 PFR 7 all others fold to BB who calls UTG 3Bets to 23

Decision point UTG shoves for 128, BB folds UTG folds
MP1 wins 31 EV = 31



Decision point MP1 shoves for 128, BB folds UTG calls all-in
Pot 264
UTG :Kc:Ks equity 18.7%

EV = (%W * $W) - (%L * $L)
EV = (.187 * 159) - (.813 * 105)
EV = (29.73) - (85.36) = - 56.64

MP1 :Ad:Ah equity 81.3%
EV = (%W * $W) - (%L *$L)
EV = (.813 * 143) - (.187 * 121)
EV = (116.16) - (22.63) = + 93.53

UTG limps UTG+1 Folds MP1 PFR 7 all others fold to BB who calls UTG 3Bets to 23

Decision point MP1 call 23 BB call 23 Pot 69 Flop :Jd:Tc:9d
BB CK UTG bets 55 MP1 shoves 105 BB calls UTG calls

MP1 :Ad:Ah equity 48.6%
EV = (%W * $W) - (%L * $L)
EV = (.486 * 262) - (.504 * 105)
EV = (127.33) - (75.60) = 51.73

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