Section 2-11
Quadzilla
Red Chipper Posts: 9 ✭✭
Section 2-11
Part I: Pre-Flop
Villain (Super Nit) open limps from UG1.
Villain’s limping range: JJ-77, JJ-77, AKo-AQo,AQs-AJs,KQs,[35]QJs,JTs[/35],[25]AA[/25] Combos: 70
Villain would open raise range: KK-QQ, AKs, open raise AA 75% and open limp AA 25%
Villain limps JTs-QJs 35% of the time and folds 65%
Villain folds 66-22
Part II: Pre-Flop
Hero raises 3.5BB from the HJ; folds to Villain, who calls 2.5BB
Villain has 84BB looking at an effective stack of 74BB, getting 3-1 immediate pot odds villain, and having >20BB implied odds, Villain’s tight range shouldn’t change much. Even if villain limped with 66-22, for 2.5BB, villain should see the flop.
JJ-77,AKo-AQo,AQs-AJs,KQs,[35]QJs,JTs[/35],[10]AA[/10] Combos: 69
Villain’s call closes out pre-flop action, so villain should call all of his tight, opening range, with the exception of rearising the slow played wired AA. Typically, a super nit re-raise the limped Aces, but I added 10% chance for a smooth-call; hence the loss of one combo, from 70-69. (If there was a 2-bet from the CO, Button, or Blinds, then most of Villain’s range would be folded out, but that’s not the case, here.)
Part III: Flop Qd Th 3s
Hero bets 6.5BB (approx. 70% pot)
Villain calls.
Villain’s range: 4%, Combos: 47
JJ-TT,33,AKo-AQo,AQs,KQs,QJs,JTs,AhJh,[10]AA[/10]
If Villain limped AA 10% of the time, he most likely re-raises with them on the flop.
Villain would re-raise his sets, TT and 33 (I did not include wired 3s in our super nit’s limping range UG1—a Nit might limp 33 UG1, but a “Super Nit” on the first hand of the final table, UG1, mucks pocket 3s—but I included it now because the authors, apparently, think it’s in his pre-flop limping range, since it’s in one of the prompts.). In summary, super nits, typically, are afraid of losing/getting outdrawn, so he/she would most likely playback at hero with all his/her strong holdings.
Part IV: Turn Qd Th 3s Jh
Villain’s range: 3.5%, Combos: 40
TT,33,AKo-AQo,AQs,KQs,QJs,JTs,[50]JJ[/50],[10]AA[/10]
Villain checks and Hero, deciding to pot control, checks.
Out of Position, Villain most likely checks everything except the set of Jacks, which I ranged him leading half of the time and checking half of the time.
Part V: River Qd Th 3s Jh Ks
Of course, this is a terrible card for our hero.
Hero is ahead of QJ (2 combos), JT (3 combos) (Not sure here if JT has 3 combos or 0, since it changes if the filter is on), and tied with KcQc AA,TT,33,AQo,AQs,KQs,QJs 23 combos.
Villain bets 9BB into a 22.4BB pot, over 1/3 pot
This is either a blocking bet or a value bet—most likely a value bet.
Hero’s equity is 11%
Hero’s call needs to work approx. 28% of the time to break even; hence, it’s a clear fold, sadly, especially against a “Super Nit.”
In the past, I’m probably calling, since I’m getting 3.5-1, and it’ oh-so-hard to fold to 9BB bet. Perhaps after another 999 exercises of this type, I’ll be able to make that fold.
Part I: Pre-Flop
Villain (Super Nit) open limps from UG1.
Villain’s limping range: JJ-77, JJ-77, AKo-AQo,AQs-AJs,KQs,[35]QJs,JTs[/35],[25]AA[/25] Combos: 70
Villain would open raise range: KK-QQ, AKs, open raise AA 75% and open limp AA 25%
Villain limps JTs-QJs 35% of the time and folds 65%
Villain folds 66-22
Part II: Pre-Flop
Hero raises 3.5BB from the HJ; folds to Villain, who calls 2.5BB
Villain has 84BB looking at an effective stack of 74BB, getting 3-1 immediate pot odds villain, and having >20BB implied odds, Villain’s tight range shouldn’t change much. Even if villain limped with 66-22, for 2.5BB, villain should see the flop.
JJ-77,AKo-AQo,AQs-AJs,KQs,[35]QJs,JTs[/35],[10]AA[/10] Combos: 69
Villain’s call closes out pre-flop action, so villain should call all of his tight, opening range, with the exception of rearising the slow played wired AA. Typically, a super nit re-raise the limped Aces, but I added 10% chance for a smooth-call; hence the loss of one combo, from 70-69. (If there was a 2-bet from the CO, Button, or Blinds, then most of Villain’s range would be folded out, but that’s not the case, here.)
Part III: Flop Qd Th 3s
Hero bets 6.5BB (approx. 70% pot)
Villain calls.
Villain’s range: 4%, Combos: 47
JJ-TT,33,AKo-AQo,AQs,KQs,QJs,JTs,AhJh,[10]AA[/10]
If Villain limped AA 10% of the time, he most likely re-raises with them on the flop.
Villain would re-raise his sets, TT and 33 (I did not include wired 3s in our super nit’s limping range UG1—a Nit might limp 33 UG1, but a “Super Nit” on the first hand of the final table, UG1, mucks pocket 3s—but I included it now because the authors, apparently, think it’s in his pre-flop limping range, since it’s in one of the prompts.). In summary, super nits, typically, are afraid of losing/getting outdrawn, so he/she would most likely playback at hero with all his/her strong holdings.
Part IV: Turn Qd Th 3s Jh
Villain’s range: 3.5%, Combos: 40
TT,33,AKo-AQo,AQs,KQs,QJs,JTs,[50]JJ[/50],[10]AA[/10]
Villain checks and Hero, deciding to pot control, checks.
Out of Position, Villain most likely checks everything except the set of Jacks, which I ranged him leading half of the time and checking half of the time.
Part V: River Qd Th 3s Jh Ks
Of course, this is a terrible card for our hero.
Hero is ahead of QJ (2 combos), JT (3 combos) (Not sure here if JT has 3 combos or 0, since it changes if the filter is on), and tied with KcQc AA,TT,33,AQo,AQs,KQs,QJs 23 combos.
Villain bets 9BB into a 22.4BB pot, over 1/3 pot
This is either a blocking bet or a value bet—most likely a value bet.
Hero’s equity is 11%
Hero’s call needs to work approx. 28% of the time to break even; hence, it’s a clear fold, sadly, especially against a “Super Nit.”
In the past, I’m probably calling, since I’m getting 3.5-1, and it’ oh-so-hard to fold to 9BB bet. Perhaps after another 999 exercises of this type, I’ll be able to make that fold.
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Comments
You didn't mention your hand or range - right? (did I miss it in wall of text?)
don't know how you gave Hero 11% equity without a hand/range?
I doubt even "super nits" are folding pairs, and if he is really a super nit AK folds to flop bet so he really doesn't have as many Ax (only AQ/AA slowplays)combos as my ISO range would so I would consider having some river bluff raises on that runout especially with the weak looking sizing
I think he won't openlimp 66-QQ, but openraise, so those pocketpairs I eliminate from his range.
On the flop he will x/raise those KK and AA combo's, so on the flop I eliminate KK and AA entirely out of his range.
RIVER
The board becomes 4straight Broadway and we have 2TopPair.
A tight nit is not going to lead out with 2Pair, so we don't beat anything.
I have in his range a few combo's ATo, 3 combo's J9s and 4,5 combo's T9o.
Those combo's are 55% of his turnrange.
All those combo's are straights and beat us.
I fold my 2Pair on this board and his lead-out. I don't beat anything.
Maybe it would have been better to 2ndbarrel the turn and don't give a free card and fold out draws?
The range that I assign to the tight nit is not so very strong on the turn, Flopzilla gives me 78%.
But of course it all depends on our estimation that he would openraise certain combos or raise certain hands on the flop.
Villain’s range goes 16% (201) AA-22, AKo-ATo,KQo-KTo,QJo-QTo,JTo,AKs-ATs,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs.
Villain has range equity over me, 47/53
I raise almost a whole pot, but Super NIT still calls. A super nit, UTG, calling a pot sized raise suggest that I should narrow his range. I eliminate the Broadway offsuit gappers, leaving him the AXs.
Villain’s modified range is now 12% (147) AA-22,AKo-ATo,AKs-ATs,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs.
His range equity improves, 43/57.
It's possible that Super NIT turned into a call station because I raised from late and have position, not.
Flop
Super NIT check-calls my 2/3s pot bet. He did not bet for value which would have indicated the strongest hands. He would be comfortable slow playing sets. I decide to remove AA, KK, AK and AJ.
Villain’s range goes 27% (24) of previous QQ, TT,33,AQo,AQs,KQs-KJs,QJs-QTs.
His range equity improves, 38/62.
Turn
Obviously, this connects well with my hand
The equity range does an amazing flip to me, a near even 51/49.
He would fearfully check-raise his entire range for pot control. He fears the worst, me having AK and especially AhKh. He proceeds with 100% (24) QQ,TT,33,AQo,AQs,KQs-KJs,QJs-QTs.
River
Nine BB is not a strong bet except maybe by a Super NIT with an AQ or QT that makes his straight. He would not be betting now with his 2P or Ax.
I am beating all his 2P except we split the pot if he has KQ too. I’m losing to his sets and straights.
Villains range goes 100% (22) of previous QQ,TT,33,AQo,AQs,KQs-KJs,QJs-QTs.
Range equity increases in my favor, 55/45
I am calling a 9BB bet with slight trepidation.