- EV call How much did it cost me?

ArtursArturs Red Chipper Posts: 8 ✭✭
edited January 2018 in Live Poker Hands
5/5 live game effective $ Hero covers

Hero hand :Js:Jd in sb

Preflop:

Villain 1 (1400$ roughly)
Opens 25 from EP

Villain 2 MP (1400 roughly)
Calls

Villain 3 BU
Calls

Hero
3bets 150$

V1 calls
V2 calls

Flop

:Ts:Qc:Kh

Hero checks
V1 checks
V2 bets 250
Hero calls
V1 All in
V2 Calls

1000$ to call for hero

Turn :2d

River :Jh

V1 AA
V2 AK

I realized in the aftermath this wasn't a good spot but the odds on the spot felt good.

Anyone care to figure out the odds here. I'm not clear on how much it cost me.


Comments

  • Zero CoolZero Cool Red Chipper Posts: 272 ✭✭✭
    When V2 bets $250 the flop I have his range such that you have ~28% equity and need 26% to call. So the EV of this call is....

    EV = ( $730 * 28% ) - ( $250 * 72% ) = +24.4

    When V1 Shoves for 1250 and V2 calls your equity drops to ~21% and you need 24% equity to call. So the EV of this call is....

    EV = ( $3230 * 21% ) - ( $1000 * 79% ) = -111.7

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