double barrel impact

Simon191183Simon191183 Red Chipper Posts: 73
edited October 2015 in Challenge Forum
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 400 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
SB: 111.5 BB (VPIP: 25.81, PFR: 19.35, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 31)
BB: 379 BB (VPIP: 16.38, PFR: 15.52, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 119)
UTG: 326.5 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
Hero (CO): 156.5 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J:diamond: K:diamond:

fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, SB raises to 9 BB, fold, Hero calls 6 BB

Flop: (19 BB, 2 players) 7:diamond: 8:spade: 9:club:
SB bets 12 BB, Hero calls 12 BB

Turn: (43 BB, 2 players) 8:diamond:
SB checks, Hero bets 35 BB, fold

Hero wins 41.5 BB

I assigned him a Range: AA, AKo, AKs, AQo, AQs, KQs all pairs 10-AA. thats 6,18% of his range

1. Im very sure he would fold all of his top and overpairs, thats 37,5% of his Range
2. He wouldnt have medium pairs. 0,0%
3. He would fold 15,6% of his Draws, a flushdraw is unlikely, im not sure if he would fold that, maybe not the Nutdraw.
4. He would never float me again. 0,00%
5. He would never raise worse then 2 pair. he would never have 2pr not when he had the range i thaugt he has. thats 0,00%

6. He would have 54% of his Range on that Board, that he folds, pairs and draws.
I would need him to fold only 45% of the time. This play is + EV

Final answer: No it wouldnt change on this board, i should bet not so much in this situation.


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